Experts Say Dual-Clutch Transmissions Will Dominate by 2020
By KBB.com Editors on March 13, 2009 6:10 AMA survey taken during the recent International Car Training Institute (CTI) Symposium for Innovative Transmissions in Berlin, Germany, indicated that 40 percent of the industry respondents think dual-clutch technology will be the most popular gear-changing choice by 2020. The seventh annual gathering of transmission experts from around the world believe all other forms of transmission design, including advanced continuously variable "CVT" systems, will garner only a 10-15 percent deployment rate each. Borg-Warner, a leader in the dual-clutch arena and currently engaged in over 25 programs with various automakers and transmission manufacturers worldwide confirmed expectations for this kind of stratospheric growth are entirely feasible -- and probable. It currently projects that production of these super-efficient DSG/SMG-type performance gearboxes will accelerate by an average of 42 percent annually, from the approximately 600,000 units in 2008 to nearly 5 million units by 2014; and that applications will continue to expand into all segments of the vehicle market as higher fitment rates continue to lower their per-unit price points.